Pawfect Loot
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$25.46
Advertised RTP
89.47%
EV $22.78 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
127.85%
253 openings, odds method
Variance
16.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 29
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 253 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pet GG coatother | 1 in 100 | $1,023 | 44.9% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.37× |
| Pet Carrierother | 1 in 40 | $115 | 12.6% | 3 | 6.3 | 0.47× |
| Cat Carrier Backpackother | 1 in 29 | $77.00 | 11.8% | 3 | 8.9 | 0.34× |
| Amazon Basics Cat Scratching Post, Mediumother | 1 in 20 | $33.00 | 7.2% | 7 | 12.6 | 0.55× |
| Dog Life Jacketother | 1 in 20 | $30.54 | 6.7% | 15 | 12.6 | 1.19× |
| Pet First Aid Kitother | 1 in 20 | $25.44 | 5.6% | 8 | 12.6 | 0.63× |
| Pet Shampooother | 10.0% | $8.00 | 3.5% | 25 | 25.3 | 0.99× |
| Hartz Mini Mice Cat Toy (5 Pack)other | 16.0% | $5.00 | 3.5% | 39 | 40.5 | 0.96× |
| Dog Leashother | 16.0% | $3.50 | 2.5% | 38 | 40.5 | 0.94× |
| Wet Cat Foodother | 16.0% | $2.00 | 1.4% | 42 | 40.5 | 1.04× |
| Dog Treatother | 20.0% | $0.25 | 0.2% | 67 | 50.6 | 1.32× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.47%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $25.46 | 89.47% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $1,023 (40.18x)