PC Gamer

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$8.98
Advertised RTP
89.43%
EV $8.03 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.80%
722 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
74 openings · below min
7 days
84.92%±11.15423 openings
30 days
87.80%±8.54722 openings
since tracking started
87.80%±8.54722 openings
71.5%98.8%126.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7498.90%±26.7—odds
7d42384.92%±11.2−0.8σodds
30d72287.80%±8.54−0.4σodds
All72287.80%±8.54−0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 722 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Dragon Ball: Sparking! Zero | Ultimate Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 500$1122.8%11.40.69×
Call of Duty: Black Ops 6 | Vault Edition (PC) - Battle.net Gift - GLOBALother1 in 500$1022.5%01.40.00×
Escape From Tarkov (PC) - Battlestate Key - GLOBALother1 in 500$90.492.3%21.41.39×
NBA 2K25 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 500$77.391.9%21.41.39×
Frostpunk 2 | Deluxe Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 500$68.661.7%11.40.69×
Ghost of Tsushima | Director's Cut (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 500$60.491.5%31.42.08×
DayZ (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 400$53.261.7%01.80.00×
Farming Simulator 25 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 200$46.522.9%43.61.11×
Grand Theft Auto: Vice City (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 200$41.512.6%23.60.55×
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt | Complete Edition (PC) - GOG.COM Key - GLOBALother1 in 100$20.332.5%77.20.97×
Battlefield 4 | Premium Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 100$18.442.3%117.21.52×
Call of Duty: Black Ops II (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBALother1 in 100$17.052.1%97.21.25×
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon Wildlands | Standard Edition (PC) - Ubisoft Connect Key - NORTH AMERICAother1 in 67$15.602.9%1210.81.11×
Dying Light | Definitive Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 67$14.962.8%710.80.65×
Total War: WARHAMMER (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 67$14.772.8%1010.80.92×
Assassin's Creed Unity Ubisoft Connect Key GLOBALother1 in 40$12.934.0%2718.11.50×
BeamNG.drive (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBALother1 in 40$12.203.8%2418.11.33×
Don't Starve Together (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 40$11.473.6%1118.10.61×
Borderlands 2 GOTY (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 33$9.383.5%2021.70.92×
Fallout: New Vegas Ultimate Edition (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 20$7.814.9%2436.10.66×
Sniper Elite 4 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother1 in 17$7.735.8%4043.30.92×
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition Steam Key GLOBALother1 in 13$6.976.5%4454.10.81×
DOOM Steam Key GLOBALother1 in 13$6.756.7%6357.81.09×
Outlast Steam Key GLOBALother1 in 12$6.066.1%7158.11.22×
Mad Max (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother10.0%$4.325.4%8572.21.18×
Killing Floor 2 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother15.0%$3.626.8%106108.30.98×
LEGO Marvel Super Heroes (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBALother20.0%$3.107.7%136144.40.94×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.43%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$8.9889.43%27
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit —