Pikachu Power Pack
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$44.33
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $39.67 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.37%
487 openings, odds method
Variance
19.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 57
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 487 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pikachu (SM-P 288)other | 1 in 133 | $2,090 | 39.5% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.10× |
| Yokohama's Pikachu (SM-P 280)other | 1 in 100 | $500 | 12.6% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× |
| Pikachu Gold Star (HP 104)other | 1 in 100 | $425 | 10.7% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.03× |
| Hakama Pikachu (SM-P 208)other | 1 in 100 | $423 | 10.7% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.03× |
| Gentleman Pikachu (SM-P 210)other | 1 in 40 | $85.00 | 5.4% | 6 | 12.2 | 0.49× |
| Detective Pikachu: Charizard GX Case Fileother | 1 in 33 | $50.00 | 3.8% | 15 | 14.6 | 1.03× |
| Rescue Team DX's Pikachu (S-P 36)other | 1 in 33 | $45.00 | 3.4% | 13 | 14.6 | 0.89× |
| Pokémon 12" Large Pikachu Plushother | 1 in 33 | $30.00 | 2.3% | 18 | 14.6 | 1.23× |
| Detective Pikachu (SM 170)other | 1 in 33 | $22.70 | 1.7% | 16 | 14.6 | 1.10× |
| Shibuya's Pikachu (S-P 2)other | 1 in 20 | $19.00 | 2.4% | 26 | 24.4 | 1.07× |
| Pikachu (CEC 241)other | 1 in 20 | $16.00 | 2.0% | 33 | 24.4 | 1.36× |
| Pikachu EX (XYPR 124)other | 1 in 20 | $13.00 | 1.6% | 25 | 24.4 | 1.03× |
| Pikachu (SWSH 020)other | 1 in 13 | $8.00 | 1.5% | 35 | 36.5 | 0.96× |
| Surfing Pikachu (WP 28)other | 1 in 13 | $7.00 | 1.3% | 35 | 36.5 | 0.96× |
| Ash's Pikachu (SM 108)other | 10.0% | $2.25 | 0.6% | 62 | 48.7 | 1.27× |
| Detective Pikachu (SM 190)other | 10.0% | $2.00 | 0.5% | 33 | 48.7 | 0.68× |
| Pikachu (JU 60)other | 15.0% | $0.03 | 0.0% | 69 | 73.0 | 0.94× |
| Pikachu (BS 58)other | 16.8% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 85 | 81.6 | 1.04× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $44.33 | 89.49% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $2,090 (47.15x)