Playhouse

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$35.85
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $32.08 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.44%
137 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
3 openings · below min
7 days
81.19%±26.75131 openings
30 days
82.44%±26.16137 openings
since tracking started
82.44%±26.16137 openings
-0.5%114.3%229.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h351.51%±176.8—odds
7d13181.19%±26.7−0.6σodds
30d13782.44%±26.2−0.5σodds
All13782.44%±26.2−0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 137 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Delta Children Lightning McQueen Bedother1 in 100$55017.1%11.40.73×
KRIDDO Toddler Balance Bikeother1 in 33$90.008.4%54.11.22×
Black+Decker Kids Workbench - Power Tools Workshopother1 in 33$80.007.5%24.10.49×
Lakeshore Build-It-Yourself Woodworking Kitother1 in 33$70.006.5%34.10.73×
HOLYFUN Kids Kitchen Playsetother1 in 20$53.008.3%96.91.31×
LeapFrog Scoop and Learn Ice Cream Cartother1 in 20$50.007.8%66.90.88×
Calculator Cash Register Toy for Kidsother1 in 13$30.007.0%710.30.68×
LeapFrog My Own Laptopother1 in 13$25.005.8%1110.31.07×
Casdon Dyson Cordless Vacuum Toyother10.0%$23.007.2%1313.70.95×
KidKraft 27-Piece Pastel Cookware Setother10.0%$20.006.2%2013.71.46×
Bluey The Shopping Trolleyother12.5%$20.007.8%1217.10.70×
Fisher-Price Preschool Pretend Play Medical Kitother15.0%$12.705.9%2020.60.97×
Hape Wooden Doll House Furniture Setother17.5%$8.004.4%2824.01.17×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$35.8589.48%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $550 (15.34x)