Price
$35.85
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $32.08 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.44%
137 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 137 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Children Lightning McQueen Bedother | 1 in 100 | $550 | 17.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| KRIDDO Toddler Balance Bikeother | 1 in 33 | $90.00 | 8.4% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.22× |
| Black+Decker Kids Workbench - Power Tools Workshopother | 1 in 33 | $80.00 | 7.5% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.49× |
| Lakeshore Build-It-Yourself Woodworking Kitother | 1 in 33 | $70.00 | 6.5% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× |
| HOLYFUN Kids Kitchen Playsetother | 1 in 20 | $53.00 | 8.3% | 9 | 6.9 | 1.31× |
| LeapFrog Scoop and Learn Ice Cream Cartother | 1 in 20 | $50.00 | 7.8% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.88× |
| Calculator Cash Register Toy for Kidsother | 1 in 13 | $30.00 | 7.0% | 7 | 10.3 | 0.68× |
| LeapFrog My Own Laptopother | 1 in 13 | $25.00 | 5.8% | 11 | 10.3 | 1.07× |
| Casdon Dyson Cordless Vacuum Toyother | 10.0% | $23.00 | 7.2% | 13 | 13.7 | 0.95× |
| KidKraft 27-Piece Pastel Cookware Setother | 10.0% | $20.00 | 6.2% | 20 | 13.7 | 1.46× |
| Bluey The Shopping Trolleyother | 12.5% | $20.00 | 7.8% | 12 | 17.1 | 0.70× |
| Fisher-Price Preschool Pretend Play Medical Kitother | 15.0% | $12.70 | 5.9% | 20 | 20.6 | 0.97× |
| Hape Wooden Doll House Furniture Setother | 17.5% | $8.00 | 4.4% | 28 | 24.0 | 1.17× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $35.85 | 89.48% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $550 (15.34x)