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POP! SHOP

A box on Cases.gg (Funko Pop), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$45.57
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $40.78 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.11%
386 openings, odds method
Variance
9.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
50 openings · below min
7 days
91.88%±31.39376 openings
30 days
94.11%±30.98386 openings
since tracking started
94.11%±30.98386 openings
-0.5%79.0%158.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5071.93%±86.1—odds
7d37691.88%±31.4+0.1σodds
30d38694.11%±31.0+0.3σodds
All38694.11%±31.0+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 386 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Funko Pop! Rides One Piece Luffy with Thousand Sunny 2022 CCXP Exclusive Figure #114other1 in 200$89310.9%21.91.04×
Funko Pop! Harry Potter LA Comic Con Exclusive Figure (Edition of 2000) #137other1 in 200$87010.7%11.90.52×
Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96other1 in 200$7959.7%41.92.07×
Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504other1 in 133$62011.4%62.92.07×
Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kurama Mode (Glow) GameStop Exclusive 6 Inch Figure #97other1 in 133$55710.2%22.90.69×
Funko Pop! Star Wars Grogu Diamond Collection 2022 Star Wars Celebration Exclusive (Edition of 5000) Figure #368other1 in 200$5366.6%21.91.04×
Funko Pop! Movies The Muppets Kermit the Frog (Superhero) Emerald City Comic Con, Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #11other1 in 100$41510.2%43.91.04×
Funko Pop! Marvel Guardians of the Galaxy Groot 18 Inch Flocked Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #01other1 in 100$4009.8%03.90.00×
Funko Pop! Games Pokémon Vaporeon Diamond Collection 2021 Spring Convention Exclusive Figure #627other1 in 100$1654.0%43.91.04×
Funko Pop! Movies 8 Mile B-Rabbit Figure #1052other1 in 100$1503.7%53.91.30×
Funko Pop! Animation My Hero Academia Dabi Fall Convention Figure #637other1 in 100$90.002.2%33.90.78×
Funko Pop! Football New England Patriots Tom Brady (Color Rush Jersey) Figure #59other1 in 100$88.002.2%33.90.78×
Funko Pop! Deluxe Moment U2's The Zoo TV Tour 1993 2022 Walmart Exclusive Figure #05other1 in 100$66.001.6%43.91.04×
Funko Pop! Games Pokemon Grumpy Pikachu (Flocked) Fall Convention Exclusive Figure #598other1 in 100$61.001.5%33.90.78×
Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kotetsu Hagane Figure #1197other1 in 100$45.001.1%23.90.52×
Funko Pop! Television The Office Dwight Schrute Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #1009other1 in 100$37.000.9%53.91.30×
Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kakashi (Lightning Blade) Hot Topic Exclusive Figure #548other1 in 67$31.001.1%55.80.86×
$1 Voucherother85.0%$1.002.1%331328.11.01×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Funko Pop! Rides One Piece Luffy with Thousand Sunny 2022 CCXP Exclusive Figure #114other$45.57$89319.60x
Funko Pop! Rides One Piece Luffy with Thousand Sunny 2022 CCXP Exclusive Figure #114other$45.57$89319.60x
Funko Pop! Harry Potter LA Comic Con Exclusive Figure (Edition of 2000) #137other$45.57$87019.09x
Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96otherSnupsBar$45.57$79517.45x
Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96other$45.57$79517.45x
Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96other$45.57$79517.45x
Funko Pop! Animation Bleach Ichigo Kurosaki (Hollow) (Black and White) Gamestop Exclusive Figure #96other$45.57$79517.45x
Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504otherVaniooo$45.57$62013.61x
Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504other$45.57$62013.61x
Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504othervioreltoma$45.57$62013.61x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
$1 Voucherother$45.57$1.000.02x
$1 Voucherother$45.57$1.000.02x
$1 Voucherother$45.57$1.000.02x
$1 Voucherother$45.57$1.000.02x
$1 Voucherother$45.57$1.000.02x
$1 VoucherotherTrecky$45.57$1.000.02x
Funko Pop! Movies 8 Mile B-Rabbit Figure #1052other$45.57$1503.29x
$1 Voucherother$45.57$1.000.02x
$1 Voucherother$45.57$1.000.02x
$1 Voucherother$45.57$1.000.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$45.5789.49%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $893 (19.60x)