Porsche Centre

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$2,510.81
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $2,247.17 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
13.74%
48 openings, odds method
Variance
30.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 97
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
48 openings · below min
30 days
48 openings · below min
since tracking started
48 openings · below min
-0.5%130.3%261.0%

Small sample. 48 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h187.32%±253.2—odds
7d4813.74%±155.1—odds
30d4813.74%±155.1—odds
All4813.74%±155.1—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
2022 Porsche 911 GT3other1 in 2,500$312K5.6%00.0—
2022 Porsche 911 Carrera 4Sother1 in 1,667$186K5.0%00.0—
2022 Porsche 718 Boxster Spyderother1 in 1,250$161K5.7%00.0—
2016 Porsche Cayman GT4other1 in 1,000$128K5.7%00.0—
2024 Porsche Cayenne Coupeother1 in 800$115K6.4%00.1—
2023 Porsche Cayenne Sother1 in 800$110K6.1%00.1—
2024 Porsche Taycan Baseother1 in 714$108K6.7%00.1—
2021 Porsche Taycan 4Sother1 in 606$91.2K6.7%00.1—
2013 Porsche 911 Carreraother1 in 500$68.6K6.1%00.1—
2018 Porsche Panamera 4Sother1 in 400$65.7K7.3%00.1—
2008 Porsche 911 Carrera 4Sother1 in 222$49.2K9.9%00.2—
2004 Porsche Boxster Sother1 in 133$23.9K8.0%00.4—
Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Crochet Driving Glovesother10.0%$1,8608.3%24.80.42×
Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Victory Grille Badgeother10.0%$1,5406.9%54.81.04×
Aime Leon Dore x Porsche 356 Plaid Wool Hatother10.0%$5502.4%24.80.42×
Hot Wheels 2020 Porsche 918 Spyderother15.0%$1801.2%77.20.97×
Hot Wheels x Daniel Arsham Porsche 356 Bonsai Speedsterother20.0%$1301.2%119.61.15×
Hot Wheels RLC Exclusive 1986 Porsche 959other32.5%$64.380.9%2115.61.35×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$2,51189.50%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $1,860 (0.74x)