Price
$110.70
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $99.07 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.80%
60 openings, odds method
Variance
4.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 60 openings and 5.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Razer Blade 16 (2024) Gaming Laptopother | 1 in 500 | $3,960 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Razer Iskur V2 Gaming Chair - Blackother | 1 in 100 | $750 | 7.6% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| Razer Leviathan V2 Proother | 1 in 67 | $550 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| Razer Nommo V2 Pro - 2.1 PC Gaming Speakersother | 1 in 67 | $540 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| Razer Kiyo Pro Ultra 4K Webcamother | 1 in 33 | $480 | 14.5% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| Razer Kraken V4 Pro Wireless Gaming Headsetother | 1 in 50 | $440 | 8.9% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| Razer BlackWidow V4 Pro Wired Mechanical Gaming Keyboardother | 1 in 33 | $275 | 8.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× |
| Razer Wolverine V3 Pro Wireless Gaming Controllerother | 1 in 20 | $240 | 12.1% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.67× |
| Razer BlackShark V2 X Gaming Headsetother | 12.5% | $55.00 | 6.9% | 7 | 7.5 | 0.93× |
| Razer Ornata V3 X Gaming Keyboardother | 15.0% | $48.00 | 7.3% | 12 | 9.0 | 1.33× |
| Razer DeathAdder Essential Gaming Mouse - Mercury Whiteother | 20.0% | $32.99 | 6.7% | 14 | 12.0 | 1.17× |
| Razer Gigantus v2 Cloth Gaming Mouse Pad (Medium)other | 35.3% | $9.00 | 3.2% | 17 | 21.2 | 0.80× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $111 | 89.49% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $750 (6.78x)