RC

A box on Cases.gg (Tech), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$33.25

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $29.75 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

72.14%

451 openings, odds method

Variance

22.1×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 50

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

90.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

76 openings · below min

7 days

63.71%±48.95354 openings

30 days

72.14%±43.37451 openings

since tracking started

72.14%±43.37451 openings

-0.5%72.8%146.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	76	39.69%±105.6	—	odds
7d	354	63.71%±49.0	−1.0σ	odds
30d	451	72.14%±43.4	−0.8σ	odds
All	451	72.14%±43.4	−0.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 451 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
DJI Mavic 3 Pro with DJI RC, Flagship Triple-Camera Droneother	1 in 500	$2,419	16.3%	1	0.9	—
1:7 Scale Hobby Brushless Rc Truckother	1 in 500	$1,832	12.3%	0	0.9	—
DJI Avata Pro-View Combo - First-Person View Drone UAV Quadcopterother	1 in 500	$1,154	7.8%	1	0.9	—
ARRMA RC Truck 1/7 MOJAVother	1 in 500	$756	5.1%	1	0.9	—
X1 Drone with Camera, Self-Flying Camera Droneother	1 in 500	$576	3.9%	1	0.9	—
DJI Mini 4K, Drone with 4K UHD Cameraother	1 in 100	$360	12.1%	2	4.5	0.44×
ARRMA RC Car Typhon GROM 4x4 Smart Small Scale Buggy RTRother	1 in 100	$185	6.2%	5	4.5	1.11×
Hot Wheels x Tesla Cybertruck 1:10 Scale RC Car (2021 Version w/ Cyberquad)other	1 in 100	$165	5.5%	1	4.5	0.22×
Mostop Remote Control Crawler High Speed Tank Off-Road 4WDother	1 in 100	$99.00	3.3%	6	4.5	1.33×
All Terrain RC Car 18859, 36 KPH High Speed 4WD Electric Vehicleother	1 in 100	$99.00	3.3%	4	4.5	0.89×
DTXMX Flysky FS-GT5 6 Channels RC Transmitterother	1 in 100	$97.00	3.3%	4	4.5	0.89×
GoolRC RC Drift Car, 1:16 Scale Remote Control Carother	1 in 100	$79.00	2.7%	4	4.5	0.89×
QI XING RC Plane Ready for Beginnersother	1 in 100	$54.99	1.8%	7	4.5	1.55×
TEMI Remote Control Dinosaurother	1 in 100	$44.00	1.5%	4	4.5	0.89×
Monster Jam, Official Grave Digger Remote Control Monster Truckother	1 in 20	$33.03	5.6%	25	22.6	1.11×
SYMA S107G 3 Channel RC Helicopter with Gyro, Blueother	1 in 20	$26.50	4.5%	16	22.6	0.71×
Lightning McQueen RC Carother	1 in 20	$14.49	2.4%	17	22.6	0.75×
RC Batteryother	75.0%	$1.00	2.5%	352	338.3	1.04×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

DJI Mavic 3 Pro with DJI RC, Flagship Triple-Camera Droneother$33.25$2,41972.75x1d

DJI Avata Pro-View Combo - First-Person View Drone UAV Quadcopterother$33.25$1,15434.71x8d

ARRMA RC Truck 1/7 MOJAVothertimmyjudd45$33.25$75622.74x6d

X1 Drone with Camera, Self-Flying Camera Droneother$33.25$57617.32x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Lightning McQueen RC Carother$33.25$14.490.44x2h

RC Batteryother$33.25$1.000.03x2h

SYMA S107G 3 Channel RC Helicopter with Gyro, Blueother$33.25$26.500.80x2h

RC BatteryotherEriksZ$33.25$1.000.03x2h

Monster Jam, Official Grave Digger Remote Control Monster Truckother$33.25$33.030.99x9h

RC Batteryother$33.25$1.000.03x9h

Monster Jam, Official Grave Digger Remote Control Monster Truckother$33.25$33.030.99x9h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$33.25	89.49%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $2,419 (72.75x)