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Reduce Reuse Recycle

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$0.10
Advertised RTP
84.87%
EV $0.08 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.28%
18.5K openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 22
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
82.85%±13.471,230 openings
7 days
82.52%±3.7915.5K openings
30 days
82.28%±3.4718.5K openings
since tracking started
82.28%±3.4718.5K openings
68.5%82.8%97.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,23082.85%±13.5−0.3σodds
7d15.5K82.52%±3.79−1.2σodds
30d18.5K82.28%±3.47−1.5σodds
All18.5K82.28%±3.47−1.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Glass Jar with a Lidother1 in 200$2.1512.7%9692.61.04×
Plastic Hangerother1 in 133$1.4512.8%128138.90.92×
Stunning Trump Win LA Times Newspaperother1 in 100$0.9911.7%161185.20.87×
Empty Pizza Boxother1 in 91$0.8010.4%188203.70.92×
Cardboard Boxother1 in 80$0.608.8%221231.50.95×
Tin Canother1 in 80$0.405.9%230231.50.99×
Empty Yogurt Containersother1 in 57$0.224.5%325324.11.00×
Empty Egg Cartonother1 in 57$0.204.1%344324.11.06×
Plastic Utensilsother1 in 57$0.193.9%325324.11.00×
Plastic Water Bottleother1 in 50$0.102.4%365370.40.99×
Aluminum Can Tabother1 in 33$0.072.5%578555.61.04×
Empty Toilet Paper Rollother1 in 20$0.063.5%940926.01.02×
Plastic Grocery Bagother1 in 20$0.052.9%918926.00.99×
Plastic Bottle Capother1 in 10$0.033.5%1,7871833.40.97×
Wine Corkother12.0%$0.022.8%2,1702222.30.98×
Sock with a Holeother12.0%$0.022.8%2,2992222.31.03×
Paper Clipother20.0%$0.012.4%3,7713703.81.02×
Aquafina Water Bottle Labelother20.0%$0.012.4%3,6733703.80.99×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Plastic Grocery Bagotherwor***dad$0.10$0.050.50x
Plastic Bottle Capother$0.10$0.030.30x
Plastic Grocery Bagother$0.10$0.050.50x
Paper Clipother$0.10$0.010.10x
Sock with a Holeotherwor***dad$0.10$0.020.20x
Plastic Bottle Capotherann***130$0.10$0.030.30x
Tin Canotherann***130$0.10$0.404.00x
Aquafina Water Bottle Labelotherann***130$0.10$0.010.10x
Tin Canotherann***130$0.10$0.404.00x
Sock with a Holeotherann***130$0.10$0.020.20x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 84.87%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$0.1084.87%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit —