Retro Gamer

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$65.49
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $58.61 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.76%
144 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
83.83%±19.81140 openings
30 days
86.76%±19.53144 openings
since tracking started
86.76%±19.53144 openings
63.5%85.3%107.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d14083.83%±19.8−0.6σodds
30d14486.76%±19.5−0.3σodds
All14486.76%±19.5−0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 144 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$65.4989.49%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit —