Rumbling

A box on Cases.gg (Accessories), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$73.96

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $66.19 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

68.74%

69 openings, odds method

Variance

7.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 20

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

86.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

12 openings · below min

7 days

69 openings · below min

30 days

69 openings · below min

since tracking started

69 openings · below min

-0.5%120.0%240.5%

Small sample. 69 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	12	81.80%±158.0	—	odds
7d	69	68.74%±65.9	—	odds
30d	69	68.74%±65.9	—	odds
All	69	68.74%±65.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 69 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Bearbrick Attack On Titan Colossal 1000%other	1 in 500	$3,361	10.2%	0	0.1	—
Higround x Aot2 Eren Summit 65 Keyboard 2.0other	1 in 333	$804	3.6%	0	0.2	—
Higround x Attack on Titan Levi Keyboardother	1 in 200	$700	5.3%	0	0.3	—
Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504other	1 in 100	$620	9.4%	0	0.7	—
100 Thieves x Attack on Titan First Titan Hoodie - US Lother	1 in 100	$585	8.8%	3	0.7	—
Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Colossal Titan 6 Inch Figure #23other	1 in 100	$556	8.4%	1	0.7	—
Higround x Aot2 Mikasa Base 65 Keyboardother	1 in 100	$550	8.3%	0	0.7	—
Higround x Aot2 All Titans Mousepad XLother	1 in 50	$400	12.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
Higround x Aot2 Titan Meetup Mousepad XLother	1 in 50	$365	11.0%	1	1.4	0.72×
Higround x Attack on Titan Jelly Bagother	1 in 50	$90.00	2.7%	0	1.4	0.00×
Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Eren (Titan Form) Hot Topic Exclusive Figure #22other	1 in 33	$88.00	4.0%	1	2.1	0.48×
Attack on Titan Men's Authentic Full Zip-Up Survey Corpsother	1 in 33	$70.00	3.2%	1	2.1	0.48×
Attack on Titan: Complete Season One [Blu ray]other	1 in 33	$48.00	2.2%	3	2.1	1.45×
Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Cleaning Levi Hot Topic Exclusive Figure #239other	1 in 20	$44.00	3.3%	2	3.5	0.58×
Youtooz Titan Eren 4.7" Inch, Titan Eren Vinyl Figureother	1 in 20	$38.49	2.9%	6	3.5	1.74×
Attack on Titan Season 2 Distressed Scout Symbol T-shirtother	1 in 20	$24.00	1.8%	3	3.5	0.87×
Funko Pop! Animation: Attack on Titan - Armin Arlelt with Chaseother	1 in 20	$12.77	1.0%	4	3.5	1.16×
Cellar Keyother	60.0%	$2.00	1.8%	44	41.4	1.06×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.