Price
$29.96
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $26.81 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
71.79%
65 openings, odds method
Variance
6.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 65 openings and 13.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 65 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segway ZT3 Pro Electric Scooterother | 1 in 1,000 | $1,210 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| isinwheel GT2 Electric Scooterother | 1 in 1,000 | $990 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Xiaomi MI Electric Scooter 4 Proother | 1 in 667 | $770 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Segway Ninebot MAX Electric Kick Scooterother | 1 in 667 | $770 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Segway Ninebot ES4 Foldable Electric Scooterother | 1 in 667 | $670 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Gyroor Electric Scooter for Adults with Seatother | 1 in 667 | $593 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Mongoose Rise Freestyle Stunt Trick Scooterother | 1 in 200 | $125 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Razor A5 Lux Kick Scooter for Kidsother | 1 in 20 | $97.00 | 18.1% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| Retrospec Dakota Helmetother | 15.0% | $30.00 | 16.8% | 15 | 9.8 | 1.54× |
| Razor A Kick Scooter for Kidsother | 22.5% | $20.00 | 16.8% | 16 | 14.6 | 1.09× |
| 2 Wheel Kick Scooter for Kidsother | 25.0% | $15.00 | 14.0% | 15 | 16.3 | 0.92× |
| Boenoea Scooter Handlebar Gripsother | 31.2% | $7.00 | 8.1% | 16 | 20.3 | 0.79× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $29.96 | 89.50% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —