Scopped
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$33.04
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $29.57 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.34%
316 openings, odds method
Variance
19.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 316 openings and 4.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 316 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIGHTFORCE NX8-1-8x24mm F1other | 1 in 500 | $2,035 | 13.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Trijicon 3.5x35 ACOG Battery Illuminated LED Scopeother | 1 in 333 | $1,355 | 13.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| EOTECH EXPS3 Holographic Weapon Sightother | 1 in 200 | $915 | 15.5% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.53× |
| Trijicon RMR Type 2 3.25 MOA Adjustable LED Red Dot Sightother | 1 in 200 | $579 | 9.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| SIG SAUER Tango-MSR FFP 1-6X24mm Scopeother | 1 in 200 | $373 | 6.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| SIG SAUER ROMEO7 2 MOA Red Dot Sightother | 1 in 100 | $250 | 8.5% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.58× |
| Sightmark Ultra Shot A-Spec Reflex Sightother | 1 in 100 | $230 | 7.8% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.95× |
| SIG SAUER ROMEO5 1X20mm 2 MOA Red Dot Reticleother | 1 in 100 | $165 | 5.6% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| Bushnell Banner 3-9x40mm Riflescopeother | 1 in 50 | $85.00 | 5.7% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× |
| Feyachi Reflex Sight, Multiple Reticle System Red Dot Sightother | 1 in 33 | $59.00 | 6.0% | 11 | 9.5 | 1.16× |
| Feyachi Reflex Sight - Adjustable Reticleother | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 5.1% | 25 | 15.8 | 1.58× |
| Batteryother | 85.0% | $0.80 | 2.3% | 258 | 268.6 | 0.96× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $33.04 | 89.50% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $1,355 (41.01x)