Shades

A box on Cases.gg (Sunglasses), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$130.97

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $117.21 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d

160.97%

56 openings, odds method

Variance

13.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 18

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

73.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

40 openings · below min

30 days

56 openings · below min

since tracking started

56 openings · below min

63.0%189.8%316.5%

Small sample. 56 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	40	200.81%±115.0	—	odds
30d	56	160.97%±97.2	—	odds
All	56	160.97%±97.2	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 56 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Cartier Eyewear Signature C de Cartier Precious rectangular sunglassesother	1 in 1,000	$10.9K	9.3%	0	0.1	—
Cartier CT0439Sother	1 in 500	$4,351	7.4%	1	0.1	—
Louis Vuitton 1.1 Millionaires Sunglasses Green Marbleother	1 in 333	$4,080	10.4%	0	0.2	—
Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Redother	1 in 333	$2,520	6.4%	1	0.2	—
Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Blackother	1 in 333	$1,282	3.3%	1	0.2	—
Saint Laurent Square Sunglasses Black/Black (SL-651-VITTI-001)other	1 in 167	$610	3.1%	0	0.3	—
Saint Laurent Rectangle-Frame Injection Sunglasses Havana/Grey (SL318-30008269-002)other	1 in 167	$420	2.1%	0	0.3	—
Saint Laurent Classic Sunglasses Gold (Classic 11-012)other	1 in 167	$420	2.1%	0	0.3	—
Ray-Ban The Justin Sunglasses Black/Grey Gradient (RB4165)other	1 in 125	$402	2.7%	0	0.4	—
Saint Laurent Oversized Sunglasses Black/Black (SL-M119-BLAZE-001)other	1 in 200	$400	1.7%	0	0.3	—
Saint Laurent Aviator Sunglasses Silver/Green (SL309-30008020-003)other	1 in 77	$315	3.5%	1	0.7	—
Ray-Ban RB3449 Sunglasses Polished Silver/Grey (RB3449)other	1 in 40	$300	6.4%	3	1.4	2.14×
Ray-Ban Aviator Sunglasses Light Brown (0RB3664CH 121/BB)other	1 in 25	$280	9.6%	1	2.2	0.45×
OFF-WHITE Virgil Square Frame Sunglassesother	1 in 83	$245	2.5%	0	0.7	—
Ray-Ban Wayfarer Sunglasses Black/Green (RB2140)other	1 in 22	$240	9.4%	5	2.6	1.94×
Ray-Ban Daddy-O II Sunglasses Black/Green (RB2016)other	1 in 53	$220	3.6%	1	1.1	0.94×
Ray-Ban Aviator Classic Non-Polarized Sunglasses Polished Gold Frame/Green Classic G-15 Lens (RB3025 L0205 58-14)other	1 in 50	$190	3.2%	1	1.1	0.89×
Ray-Ban RB3595 Sunglasses Black/Green (RB3595)other	1 in 100	$160	1.4%	0	0.6	—
Ray-Ban Square Sunglasses Tortoise (0RB2189 1292W152)other	1 in 57	$156	2.3%	0	1.0	—
Ray-Ban RB3183 Sunglasses Polished Gunmetal/Green (RB3183)other	1 in 57	$140	2.1%	0	1.0	—
Saint Laurent Square Sunglasses Blue/Blue/Silver (SL116K-30000489-003)other	1 in 67	$130	1.7%	1	0.8	—
Ray-Ban Clubmaster Oversized Sunglasses Gloss Black/Grey Gradient (RB4175)other	1 in 45	$76.00	1.4%	2	1.2	1.62×
JASPIN Rectangle Sunglassesother	70.0%	$7.00	4.2%	38	39.2	0.97×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.