Snorlax Snooze

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$20.22
Advertised RTP
89.46%
EV $18.09 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.19%
713 openings, odds method
Variance
22.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
176 openings · below min
7 days
98.95%±42.85464 openings
30 days
85.19%±34.57713 openings
since tracking started
85.19%±34.57713 openings
13.5%83.8%154.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h17683.89%±69.6—odds
7d46498.95%±42.9+0.4σodds
30d71385.19%±34.6−0.2σodds
All71385.19%±34.6−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 713 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Tag Team Tins: Eevee & Snorlax GX Tinother1 in 133$88036.5%45.30.75×
Rocket's Snorlax ex (TRR 104)other1 in 133$55022.8%45.30.75×
Snorlax V Boxother1 in 100$35019.3%117.11.54×
Snorlax (CRE 224)other1 in 80$51.003.5%78.90.79×
Snorlax (WP 49)other1 in 77$42.003.0%129.31.29×
Snorlax VMAX (s1H 70)other1 in 63$27.002.4%1211.41.05×
Eevee & Snorlax GX (SM 169)other1 in 63$24.002.1%611.40.53×
Snorlax (EXS)other1 in 50$16.001.8%1414.30.98×
Eevee & Snorlax GX (TEU 171)other1 in 44$12.451.5%2016.01.25×
Pokémon GO: Snorlax Tinother1 in 44$11.001.4%1416.00.87×
Snorlax (PAF 202)other1 in 44$11.001.4%1616.01.00×
Pokémon GO: Snorlax Mini Tinother1 in 33$7.701.3%1921.40.89×
Snorlax (sv4a 310)other1 in 20$3.400.9%4635.61.29×
Snorlax (BW7 055)other12.5%$1.300.9%9489.11.05×
Snorlax GX (SM 05)other12.5%$0.880.6%9589.11.07×
Snorlax (SVP 051)other15.0%$0.400.3%119107.01.11×
Snorlax (MEW 143)other15.0%$0.200.2%97107.00.91×
Snorlax (FST 206)other20.0%$0.030.0%123142.60.86×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Snorlax (FST 206)other$20.22$0.030.00x
Snorlax (BW7 055)other$20.22$1.300.06x
Snorlax GX (SM 05)other$20.22$0.880.04x
Snorlax GX (SM 05)other$20.22$0.880.04x
Snorlax GX (SM 05)other$20.22$0.880.04x
Snorlax (sv4a 310)other$20.22$3.400.17x
Snorlax (FST 206)other$20.22$0.030.00x
Snorlax (FST 206)other$20.22$0.030.00x
Snorlax (SVP 051)other$20.22$0.400.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.46%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$20.2289.46%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $880 (43.52x)