Price
$20.22
Advertised RTP
89.46%
EV $18.09 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.19%
713 openings, odds method
Variance
22.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 713 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tag Team Tins: Eevee & Snorlax GX Tinother | 1 in 133 | $880 | 36.5% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.75× |
| Rocket's Snorlax ex (TRR 104)other | 1 in 133 | $550 | 22.8% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.75× |
| Snorlax V Boxother | 1 in 100 | $350 | 19.3% | 11 | 7.1 | 1.54× |
| Snorlax (CRE 224)other | 1 in 80 | $51.00 | 3.5% | 7 | 8.9 | 0.79× |
| Snorlax (WP 49)other | 1 in 77 | $42.00 | 3.0% | 12 | 9.3 | 1.29× |
| Snorlax VMAX (s1H 70)other | 1 in 63 | $27.00 | 2.4% | 12 | 11.4 | 1.05× |
| Eevee & Snorlax GX (SM 169)other | 1 in 63 | $24.00 | 2.1% | 6 | 11.4 | 0.53× |
| Snorlax (EXS)other | 1 in 50 | $16.00 | 1.8% | 14 | 14.3 | 0.98× |
| Eevee & Snorlax GX (TEU 171)other | 1 in 44 | $12.45 | 1.5% | 20 | 16.0 | 1.25× |
| Pokémon GO: Snorlax Tinother | 1 in 44 | $11.00 | 1.4% | 14 | 16.0 | 0.87× |
| Snorlax (PAF 202)other | 1 in 44 | $11.00 | 1.4% | 16 | 16.0 | 1.00× |
| Pokémon GO: Snorlax Mini Tinother | 1 in 33 | $7.70 | 1.3% | 19 | 21.4 | 0.89× |
| Snorlax (sv4a 310)other | 1 in 20 | $3.40 | 0.9% | 46 | 35.6 | 1.29× |
| Snorlax (BW7 055)other | 12.5% | $1.30 | 0.9% | 94 | 89.1 | 1.05× |
| Snorlax GX (SM 05)other | 12.5% | $0.88 | 0.6% | 95 | 89.1 | 1.07× |
| Snorlax (SVP 051)other | 15.0% | $0.40 | 0.3% | 119 | 107.0 | 1.11× |
| Snorlax (MEW 143)other | 15.0% | $0.20 | 0.2% | 97 | 107.0 | 0.91× |
| Snorlax (FST 206)other | 20.0% | $0.03 | 0.0% | 123 | 142.6 | 0.86× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.22 | 89.46% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $880 (43.52x)