Snowball
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$1.07
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $0.95 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.99%
3,256 openings, odds method
Variance
17.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,256 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logitech for Creators Blue Snowball USB Microphoneother | 1 in 200 | $60.00 | 31.6% | 20 | 16.3 | 1.23× |
| Logitech M317 Wireless Mouseother | 1 in 200 | $12.99 | 6.8% | 23 | 16.3 | 1.41× |
| Razer Gigantus v2 Cloth Gaming Mouse Pad (Medium)other | 1 in 100 | $9.00 | 9.5% | 38 | 32.6 | 1.17× |
| Jujutsu Kaisen 0 Paperbackother | 1 in 100 | $7.10 | 7.5% | 32 | 32.6 | 0.98× |
| LEGO Classic Green Baseplate 11023other | 1 in 100 | $5.79 | 6.1% | 36 | 32.6 | 1.11× |
| Wire Loom Tubingother | 1 in 20 | $3.00 | 15.8% | 162 | 162.8 | 1.00× |
| Toy Jetother | 1 in 20 | $2.00 | 10.5% | 149 | 162.8 | 0.92× |
| Micro SD Cardother | 1 in 20 | $1.00 | 5.3% | 142 | 162.8 | 0.87× |
| CDother | 1 in 13 | $0.50 | 4.2% | 244 | 260.5 | 0.94× |
| Yeezy Boost Stickerother | 1 in 13 | $0.10 | 0.8% | 294 | 260.5 | 1.13× |
| Dirtother | 30.0% | $0.05 | 1.6% | 975 | 976.8 | 1.00× |
| $0.01 Voucherother | 35.0% | $0.01 | 0.4% | 1,141 | 1139.6 | 1.00× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.82%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.07 | 88.82% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $60.00 (56.07x)