Snowstorm

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$86.81
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $77.69 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.77%
114 openings, odds method
Variance
4.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
88.72%±40.55108 openings
30 days
85.77%±39.47114 openings
since tracking started
85.77%±39.47114 openings
45.5%223.3%401.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6228.08%±172.1—odds
7d10888.72%±40.6−0.0σodds
30d11485.77%±39.5−0.2σodds
All11485.77%±39.5−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 114 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Polaris 550 Switchback Sport 144other1 in 20,000$13.2K0.8%00.0—
Nitro Team Snowboard with Nitro Rambler Snowboard Bindingsother1 in 100$90511.6%21.11.75×
Arc'teryx Therme Men's Parkaother1 in 100$88011.3%01.10.00×
2025 ATOMIC HAWX PRIME 110 S BOA GW SKI BOOTSother1 in 100$7709.9%21.11.75×
2025 SALOMON STANCE 80 WOMEN'S SKIS W/ M10 GW BINDINGSother1 in 100$6057.8%01.10.00×
Snow Joe 15A Electric Snow Blower with Dual LED Lightsother1 in 40$2758.8%52.91.75×
SCC 0232805 Auto-Trac Light Truck/SUV Tire Traction Chain - Set of 2other1 in 40$2307.4%22.90.70×
MZK Cordless Snow Shovelother1 in 40$2207.1%42.91.40×
GSOU SNOW Women Men Ski Pantsother1 in 40$1705.5%22.90.70×
509 Tactical 2.0 Snowmobile Helmetother1 in 40$1605.1%22.90.70×
AGPTEK 47 Inch Snow Sledother1 in 29$1004.5%14.00.25×
120MM Musical Santa w/Reindeer Snow Globeother1 in 20$62.004.0%75.71.23×
GIRO STOMP YOUTH GOGGLESother1 in 20$42.752.8%25.70.35×
Stanley Classic Vacuum Insulated Wide Mouth Bottleother1 in 13$35.003.4%48.50.47×
Yaktrax Spikes for Walking on Ice and Snowother1 in 13$30.002.9%88.50.94×
MOREOK Winter Glovesother15.0%$16.003.1%2117.11.23×
Ice Scraperother15.0%$12.002.3%2417.11.40×
Hand Warmersother25.0%$5.001.6%2828.50.98×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

MOREOK Winter Glovesother$86.81$16.000.18x
Hand Warmersother$86.81$5.000.06x
GSOU SNOW Women Men Ski Pantsother$86.81$1701.96x
Ice Scraperother$86.81$12.000.14x
Ice Scraperother$86.81$12.000.14x
Hand Warmersother$86.81$5.000.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$86.8189.50%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $905 (10.43x)