Star Racing
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$114.88
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $102.81 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.80%
283 openings, odds method
Variance
47.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 167
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 283 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 283 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yamaha YZ450F Team Yamaha Blueother | 1 in 1,000 | $12K | 11.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Yamaha YZ250F Team Yamaha Blueother | 1 in 500 | $10.7K | 20.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Yamaha YZ125 Blueother | 1 in 333 | $8,520 | 24.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Yamaha TT-R110Eother | 1 in 250 | $2,940 | 11.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| 6D ATR-3 Hexother | 1 in 100 | $954 | 9.3% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| Tech 10 Bootsother | 1 in 100 | $816 | 7.9% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| Thor SPORTMODE Strike Pantother | 1 in 100 | $235 | 2.3% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| THOR Yamaha Star Softshell Jacket - Blueother | 1 in 100 | $145 | 1.4% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| 100% ARMEGA Gogglesother | 1 in 100 | $135 | 1.3% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× |
| 12 Pack Monster Energyother | 1 in 20 | $40.00 | 1.9% | 17 | 14.2 | 1.20× |
| 100% RIDEFIT Moto Glovesother | 1 in 20 | $33.00 | 1.6% | 12 | 14.2 | 0.85× |
| 2023 Yamaha YZ250F 250 oil filterother | 1 in 20 | $15.00 | 0.7% | 17 | 14.2 | 1.20× |
| Maxima Racing Oils AFR-2401-00 ProFilterother | 1 in 20 | $15.00 | 0.7% | 16 | 14.2 | 1.13× |
| Yamalube 10W-40 Motorsports APother | 24.0% | $12.00 | 2.8% | 67 | 67.9 | 0.99× |
| Monster Energy, Originalother | 50.0% | $2.50 | 1.2% | 138 | 141.5 | 0.98× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $115 | 89.49% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $10.7K (92.97x)