Storage Unit

A box on Cases.gg (Tech), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$38.21

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $34.20 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

87.53%

209 openings, odds method

Variance

5.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 17

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

82.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

19 openings · below min

7 days

86.48%±31.06199 openings

30 days

87.53%±30.31209 openings

since tracking started

87.53%±30.31209 openings

6.0%107.3%208.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	19	107.28%±100.5	—	odds
7d	199	86.48%±31.1	−0.2σ	odds
30d	209	87.53%±30.3	−0.1σ	odds
All	209	87.53%±30.3	−0.1σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 209 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Crucial P3 Plus 2TB PCIe Gen4 3D NAND NVMe M.2 SSDother	1 in 50	$400	23.4%	4	4.2	0.96×
SAMSUNG 980 PRO SSD 1TB PCIe 4.0 NVMe Gen 4 Gaming M.2other	1 in 50	$365	21.3%	4	4.2	0.96×
SAMSUNG 980 SSD 1TB PCle 3.0x4, NVMe M.2 2280other	1 in 50	$260	15.2%	4	4.2	0.96×
SanDisk 1TB Portable SSDother	1 in 50	$200	11.7%	2	4.2	0.48×
Seagate Portable 2TB External Hard Drive HDDother	1 in 50	$98.00	5.7%	5	4.2	1.20×
Western Digital 1TB WD Blue Mobile Hard Drive HDDother	1 in 40	$63.00	4.6%	9	5.2	1.72×
SSK External SSD 250GBother	1 in 40	$45.70	3.3%	6	5.2	1.15×
Samsung Type-C™ USB Flash Drive, 256GBother	1 in 40	$39.00	2.9%	4	5.2	0.77×
Seagate BarraCuda 500GB Internal Hard Drive HDD – 3.5 Inchother	1 in 40	$35.00	2.6%	7	5.2	1.34×
SAMSUNG BAR Plus 3.1 USB Flash Drive 128 GBother	1 in 20	$20.00	2.9%	11	10.5	1.05×
SanDisk 128GB Cruzer Glide USB 2.0 Flash Driveother	1 in 20	$13.00	1.9%	13	10.5	1.24×
Memorex 99055 40x 700MB 80 Min Music CD-R Discs, 10 Packother	1 in 20	$9.00	1.3%	14	10.5	1.34×
32GB Ultra 100MBs Sandisk SDHC Memory Cardother	1 in 20	$7.87	1.2%	13	10.5	1.24×
Transcend 16GB MicroSDXCother	1 in 20	$6.00	0.9%	12	10.5	1.15×
SD Cardother	10.0%	$2.00	0.6%	14	20.9	0.67×
Micro SD Cardother	10.0%	$1.00	0.3%	27	20.9	1.29×
CDother	10.0%	$0.50	0.1%	18	20.9	0.86×
Floppy Diskother	25.0%	$0.10	0.1%	42	52.3	0.80×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

SSK External SSD 250GBother$38.21$45.701.20x30m

Floppy Diskotherrekack$38.21$0.100.00x30m

Samsung Type-C™ USB Flash Drive, 256GBother$38.21$39.001.02x5h

SD Cardother$38.21$2.000.05x5h

32GB Ultra 100MBs Sandisk SDHC Memory Cardother$38.21$7.870.21x5h

Samsung Type-C™ USB Flash Drive, 256GBother$38.21$39.001.02x5h

Floppy Diskother$38.21$0.100.00x5h

Seagate Portable 2TB External Hard Drive HDDotherEriksZ$38.21$98.002.56x5h

Floppy Diskother$38.21$0.100.00x9h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$38.21	89.49%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit —