Street Vendor

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$51.49

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $46.08 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

100.63%

372 openings, odds method

Variance

82.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 222

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

92.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

16 openings · below min

7 days

240 openings · below min

30 days

372 openings · below min

since tracking started

372 openings · below min

-0.5%234.3%469.0%

Small sample. 372 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	16	22.49%±445.7	—	odds
7d	240	26.97%±115.1	—	odds
30d	372	100.63%±92.4	—	odds
All	372	100.63%±92.4	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 372 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Food Vending Cart Trailer (3 * 2.1 * 2.35m)other	1 in 222	$7,000	68.4%	2	1.7	1.19×
VIVO Electric 12 Hot Dog and 5 Roller Grill Warmer, Cooker Machine with Coverother	1 in 100	$169	3.7%	5	3.7	1.34×
Street Food around the World: An Encyclopedia of Food and Cultureother	1 in 100	$132	2.9%	3	3.7	0.81×
Chefman 4.5 Liter Deep Fryer w/Basket Strainer, XL Jumbo Sizeother	1 in 40	$90.00	4.9%	6	9.3	0.65×
McCormick Two Tier Chrome 16 Piece Spice Rack Organizerother	1 in 40	$88.00	4.8%	8	9.3	0.86×
Nostalgia Popcorn Makerother	1 in 33	$43.40	2.8%	10	11.2	0.90×
Bella Pretzel Makerother	1 in 33	$37.50	2.4%	12	11.2	1.08×
Churro Maker by StarBlueother	1 in 33	$35.00	2.3%	13	11.2	1.16×
Reusable Food Containers 5packother	1 in 20	$16.20	1.8%	21	18.6	1.13×
Portable Utensils Set with Casecontainer	1 in 20	$11.00	1.2%	28	18.8	1.49×
KiNSFUN Die Cast Metal Food Truck 5 inchother	1 in 13	$8.00	1.3%	21	27.9	0.75×
7 inch Ice Cream Scoopother	1 in 13	$6.50	1.1%	31	27.9	1.11×
Taco Apronother	1 in 13	$4.00	0.7%	25	27.9	0.90×
Heinz Ketchupother	1 in 12	$3.50	0.6%	29	31.6	0.92×
Heinz Mustardother	10.0%	$2.99	0.6%	40	37.2	1.08×
Taco Holderother	10.0%	$2.00	0.4%	39	37.2	1.05×
Vendor Hatother	10.0%	$0.80	0.2%	38	37.2	1.02×
Hot Dog Sausageother	12.5%	$0.10	0.0%	41	46.5	0.88×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.