Summoner’s Cache

A box on Cases.gg (League of Legends), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$51.44
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $46.03 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.05%
240 openings, odds method
Variance
2.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
76 openings · below min
30 days
78.05%±20.82240 openings
since tracking started
78.05%±20.82240 openings
37.5%75.0%112.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d7675.00%±37.0—odds
30d24078.05%±20.8−1.1σodds
All24078.05%±20.8−1.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 240 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

League of Legends $10 Gift Cardother$51.44$10.000.19x
League of Legends $10 Gift Cardother$51.44$10.000.19x
League of Legends $10 Gift Cardother$51.44$10.000.19x
League of Legends - 575 RPother$51.44$5.500.11x
League of Legends - 575 RPother$51.44$5.500.11x
League of Legends $25 Gift Cardother$51.44$25.000.49x
League of Legends $25 Gift Cardother$51.44$25.000.49x
League of Legends - 575 RPother$51.44$5.500.11x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$51.4489.48%11
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit —