Price
$51.44
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $46.03 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.05%
240 openings, odds method
Variance
2.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 240 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logitech G PRO Mechanical Gaming Keyboard - Official League of Legendsother | 1 in 100 | $756 | 16.4% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| Infinity Studio x League of Legends The Ruined King Viego 1/6 Statueother | 1 in 100 | $312 | 6.8% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| Logitech G PRO X Gaming Headset - Official League of Legends Editionother | 1 in 33 | $165 | 10.8% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× |
| League of Legends $100 Gift Cardother | 1 in 33 | $100 | 6.5% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× |
| Convergence: A League of Legends Story Collector's Editionother | 1 in 50 | $100 | 4.3% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× |
| League of Legends - 6500 RPother | 10.0% | $70.00 | 15.2% | 26 | 24.0 | 1.08× |
| League of Legends Premium Hoodie (Unisex)other | 10.0% | $65.00 | 14.1% | 28 | 24.0 | 1.17× |
| League of Legends $50 Gift Cardother | 10.0% | $50.00 | 10.9% | 29 | 24.0 | 1.21× |
| League of Legends $25 Gift Cardother | 15.0% | $25.00 | 8.1% | 34 | 36.0 | 0.94× |
| League of Legends $10 Gift Cardother | 15.0% | $10.00 | 3.3% | 36 | 36.0 | 1.00× |
| League of Legends - 575 RPother | 30.0% | $5.50 | 3.6% | 69 | 72.0 | 0.96× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $51.44 | 89.48% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —