Sweet Dreams

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$33.67

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $30.13 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

103.13%

212 openings, odds method

Variance

2.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 12

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

82.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

19 openings · below min

7 days

104.31%±22.69208 openings

30 days

103.13%±22.47212 openings

since tracking started

103.13%±22.47212 openings

-0.5%63.5%127.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	19	48.36%±75.1	—	odds
7d	208	104.31%±22.7	+1.3σ	odds
30d	212	103.13%±22.5	+1.2σ	odds
All	212	103.13%±22.5	+1.2σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 212 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Smart Humidifier for Homeother	1 in 40	$260	21.6%	10	5.3	1.89×
Withings Sleep - Sleep Tracking Pad Under The Mattress With Sleep Cycle Analysisother	1 in 33	$250	24.9%	7	6.4	1.10×
Cooling Gel Mattress Topperother	1 in 33	$70.00	7.0%	5	6.4	0.79×
yescool Weighted Blanketother	1 in 33	$50.00	5.0%	5	6.4	0.79×
6 PC King Bed Sheetsother	1 in 33	$42.00	4.2%	6	6.4	0.94×
MUSICOZY Sleep Headphones Bluetoothother	1 in 33	$35.00	3.5%	5	6.4	0.79×
BABEYOND Satin Kimono Robeother	1 in 20	$30.00	5.0%	5	10.6	0.47×
WEEKENDER Gel Memory Foam Pillowother	1 in 20	$25.00	4.1%	10	10.6	0.94×
Ear Plugs for Sleepingother	1 in 20	$22.50	3.7%	12	10.6	1.13×
Evshine Women's Fuzzy Slippersother	1 in 20	$20.00	3.3%	4	10.6	0.38×
Bedroom Blackout Curtainsother	1 in 17	$18.60	3.7%	13	12.7	1.02×
Magicteam White Noise Machineother	1 in 17	$16.00	3.2%	18	12.7	1.42×
Bedtime Stories for Stressed Out Adultsother	1 in 17	$15.00	3.0%	12	12.7	0.94×
Stash Tea Relax and Unwind Tea Samplerother	1 in 13	$12.50	3.1%	18	15.9	1.13×
Happy Hippo 111 Glow in The Dark Stars for Ceilingother	1 in 13	$8.00	2.0%	11	15.9	0.69×
Dreamcatcherother	1 in 13	$5.00	1.3%	23	17.0	1.36×
Muscle Man Pillowother	1 in 11	$3.00	0.9%	20	19.1	1.05×
Silk Eye Mask for Sleepingother	12.5%	$1.30	0.5%	28	26.5	1.06×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Dreamcatcherother$33.67$5.000.15x6h

Happy Hippo 111 Glow in The Dark Stars for Ceilingother$33.67$8.000.24x6h

yescool Weighted Blanketotherrekack$33.67$50.001.49x6h

WEEKENDER Gel Memory Foam Pillowother$33.67$25.000.74x11h

Silk Eye Mask for Sleepingother$33.67$1.300.04x11h

Happy Hippo 111 Glow in The Dark Stars for Ceilingother$33.67$8.000.24x11h

Stash Tea Relax and Unwind Tea Samplerother$33.67$12.500.37x11h

Silk Eye Mask for Sleepingother$33.67$1.300.04x11h

Bedtime Stories for Stressed Out AdultsotherEriksZ$33.67$15.000.45x11h

Evshine Women's Fuzzy Slippersother$33.67$20.000.59x15h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$33.67	89.49%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit —