Price
$13.19
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $11.80 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.77%
360 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 360 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giant Toblerone (4.5 kg)other | 1 in 100 | $99.99 | 8.5% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| Ritter Sport Chocolate Gift Set 24 X 100gother | 1 in 100 | $90.00 | 7.6% | 8 | 3.6 | 2.22× |
| Lu Prince Choco Chocolate Biscuits 40 pcs Boxother | 1 in 50 | $60.00 | 10.2% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× |
| Tim Tams (Variety Pack)other | 1 in 50 | $50.00 | 8.5% | 12 | 7.2 | 1.67× |
| Premium Jijona Nougat Pablo Garrigós 300gother | 1 in 40 | $32.00 | 6.8% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× |
| Wasabi Peasother | 1 in 33 | $26.00 | 6.6% | 9 | 10.8 | 0.83× |
| Pocky Gift Packother | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 8.5% | 20 | 18.0 | 1.11× |
| Turrónother | 1 in 20 | $16.00 | 6.8% | 14 | 18.0 | 0.78× |
| Haribo Goldbears (1kg Tub)other | 1 in 20 | $13.00 | 5.5% | 20 | 18.0 | 1.11× |
| Doritos (Salsa Verde)other | 1 in 20 | $12.00 | 5.1% | 14 | 18.0 | 0.78× |
| Cadbury Dairy Milk (Family Size)other | 1 in 15 | $10.00 | 5.5% | 24 | 23.4 | 1.03× |
| Oreo (Green Tea Flavor)other | 1 in 15 | $8.00 | 4.4% | 25 | 23.4 | 1.07× |
| Lays Magic Masalaother | 1 in 13 | $6.99 | 4.4% | 24 | 27.0 | 0.89× |
| Stroopwafels (Tin Gift Box)other | 1 in 13 | $5.00 | 3.4% | 25 | 28.8 | 0.87× |
| Shrimp Chipsother | 10.0% | $3.50 | 3.0% | 48 | 36.0 | 1.33× |
| Kettle Chips (Honey Soy Chicken)other | 10.0% | $3.00 | 2.5% | 22 | 36.0 | 0.61× |
| Milka Alpine Milk Chocolateother | 10.0% | $2.00 | 1.7% | 40 | 36.0 | 1.11× |
| Moon Pieother | 10.0% | $1.28 | 1.1% | 37 | 36.0 | 1.03× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $13.19 | 89.48% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —