Toolbox
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$5.53
Advertised RTP
89.36%
EV $4.94 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.84%
804 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 804 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEWALT FlexTorq 100-Piece Impact Driver Bit Setother | 1 in 133 | $57.00 | 8.7% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.66× |
| IRWIN VISE-GRIP Pipe Wrenchother | 1 in 67 | $27.99 | 8.5% | 18 | 12.1 | 1.49× |
| Amazon Basics Folding Utility Knifeother | 1 in 40 | $17.90 | 9.1% | 22 | 20.1 | 1.09× |
| WORKPRO 12 Inch Torpedo Levelother | 1 in 40 | $16.00 | 8.1% | 26 | 20.1 | 1.29× |
| Needle-Nose Pliersother | 1 in 40 | $15.25 | 7.7% | 21 | 20.1 | 1.04× |
| DURATECH 3/8-Inch Drive Ratchetother | 1 in 33 | $14.00 | 8.5% | 21 | 24.1 | 0.87× |
| Wire Strippersother | 1 in 33 | $12.00 | 7.3% | 27 | 24.1 | 1.12× |
| Safety Work Glovesother | 1 in 31 | $11.00 | 7.2% | 27 | 26.1 | 1.03× |
| Claw Hammer With fiberglass Handleother | 1 in 20 | $8.10 | 8.2% | 50 | 40.2 | 1.24× |
| Measuring Tapeother | 1 in 20 | $7.70 | 7.8% | 36 | 40.2 | 0.90× |
| Voltage Testerother | 1 in 17 | $5.00 | 6.1% | 50 | 48.2 | 1.04× |
| Duct Tapeother | 1 in 14 | $3.40 | 4.8% | 56 | 56.3 | 1.00× |
| Magnetic Wristbandother | 1 in 13 | $2.10 | 3.4% | 65 | 64.3 | 1.01× |
| Carpenters Pencilother | 10.0% | $1.00 | 2.0% | 90 | 80.4 | 1.12× |
| Allen Wrenchother | 10.0% | $0.80 | 1.6% | 69 | 80.4 | 0.86× |
| Pile of Screwsother | 10.0% | $0.40 | 0.8% | 66 | 80.4 | 0.82× |
| Proto 3/8" Drive 12 Point 10mm Socketother | 10.0% | $0.10 | 0.2% | 76 | 80.4 | 0.95× |
| Singular Heavy Duty Zip Tieother | 10.0% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 80 | 80.4 | 1.00× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.36%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.53 | 89.36% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —