Travel Essentials

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$33.61
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $30.08 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.18%
115 openings, odds method
Variance
8.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 40
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
16 openings · below min
7 days
115 openings · below min
30 days
115 openings · below min
since tracking started
115 openings · below min
-0.5%103.3%207.0%

Small sample. 115 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1660.27%±146.3—odds
7d11578.18%±54.6—odds
30d11578.18%±54.6—odds
All11578.18%±54.6—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 115 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
SE3S Smart Rideable Suitcase Electric Luggage Scooter For Travelother1 in 200$95015.8%10.6—
GoPro HERO10 Black Bundleother1 in 100$58019.3%11.20.87×
Sony WH-1000XM5 Noise Canceling Headphones, Midnight Blueother1 in 100$48016.0%01.20.00×
JBL FLIP 5other1 in 40$13010.8%12.90.35×
Anker 621 Magnetic Portable Charger (MagGo)other1 in 33$52.005.2%53.51.45×
TP-Link AC750 Wireless Portable Nano Travel Routerother1 in 33$52.005.2%53.51.45×
Compact Waterproof Umbrella for Travelother1 in 20$40.006.6%65.81.04×
Mini First Aid Kitother1 in 20$33.005.5%45.80.70×
Universal Travel Power Adapterother1 in 20$26.004.3%25.80.35×
Packing Cubesother1 in 20$20.003.3%35.80.52×
Powerbankother1 in 20$14.002.3%65.81.04×
RFID Travel Passport Wallet Organizerother1 in 17$12.802.6%156.92.17×
Travel Memory Foam Pillowother1 in 13$6.001.5%48.60.46×
Digital Hanging Luggage Scaleother1 in 13$3.200.8%98.61.04×
Sleep Maskother10.0%$1.800.6%1011.50.87×
2x Ziploc Bagother10.0%$0.500.2%1711.51.48×
Luggage Tagother10.0%$0.150.0%1011.50.87×
2x Earplugsother13.0%$0.060.0%1615.01.07×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

GoPro HERO10 Black Bundleother$33.61$58017.26x

Latest dropsnewest first

Digital Hanging Luggage Scaleother$33.61$3.200.10x
2x Ziploc Bagother$33.61$0.500.01x
JBL FLIP 5other$33.61$1303.87x
2x Ziploc Bagother$33.61$0.500.01x
PowerbankotherEriksZ$33.61$14.000.42x
2x Ziploc Bagother$33.61$0.500.01x
Luggage Tagother$33.61$0.150.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$33.6189.50%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $950 (28.27x)