We Go Gym

A box on Cases.gg (Gym), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$11.23
Advertised RTP
89.43%
EV $10.04 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.38%
671 openings, odds method
Variance
14.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 43
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
50 openings · below min
7 days
106.99%±32.38545 openings
30 days
96.38%±29.18671 openings
since tracking started
96.38%±29.18671 openings
-0.5%73.0%146.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5039.00%±106.9—odds
7d545106.99%±32.4+1.1σodds
30d67196.38%±29.2+0.5σodds
All67196.38%±29.2+0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 671 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
NordicTrack T Series Treadmillother1 in 500$72014.3%41.32.98×
Sony WH-1000XM4 Wireless Premium Noise Canceling Overhead Headphonesother1 in 333$38011.4%02.00.00×
FLYBIRD Weight Benchother1 in 200$1969.8%13.40.30×
Barbell Weight Set for Liftingother1 in 167$1559.3%34.00.75×
Optimum Nutrition Gold Standard 100% Whey Protein Powderother1 in 133$95.007.1%65.01.19×
Sporzon! Wide Grip Kettlebellother1 in 133$60.494.5%15.00.20×
Under Armour Duffle Bagother1 in 100$50.005.0%66.70.89×
Multi-Density Foam Rollerother1 in 100$32.953.3%136.71.94×
Optimum Nutrition Micronized Creatine Monohydrate Powderother1 in 100$24.942.5%56.70.75×
Amazon Basics 15lb Rubber Hex Dumbbellother1 in 50$19.974.0%1213.40.89×
Hydra Shaker Bottleother1 in 50$15.993.2%1313.40.97×
Gymreapers Lifting Wrist Strapsother1 in 50$14.993.0%1513.41.12×
GYMENIST Thick Exercise Yoga Floor Matother1 in 25$12.995.2%3126.81.15×
Amazon Basics Jump Ropeother1 in 23$8.793.9%2629.50.88×
Resistance Bandother1 in 20$6.993.5%3333.60.98×
Under Armour Men's Performance Headbandother1 in 20$5.993.0%2933.60.86×
Protein Barother10.0%$2.502.5%8667.11.28×
Gym Chalkother15.0%$1.001.5%99100.60.98×
Scoop of Proteinother44.5%$0.753.3%288298.60.96×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

NordicTrack T Series Treadmillother$11.23$72064.11x
NordicTrack T Series Treadmillother$11.23$72064.11x
NordicTrack T Series Treadmillother$11.23$72064.11x

Latest dropsnewest first

Protein Barother$11.23$2.500.22x
Amazon Basics Jump Ropeother$11.23$8.790.78x
Protein Barother$11.23$2.500.22x
Protein Barother$11.23$2.500.22x
Protein Barother$11.23$2.500.22x
Protein Barother$11.23$2.500.22x
Gym Chalkother$11.23$1.000.09x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.43%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$11.2389.43%19
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $720 (64.11x)