Webbed

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$46.79
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $41.88 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.51%
670 openings, odds method
Variance
12.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 32
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.1%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
88 openings · below min
7 days
91.82%±29.12542 openings
30 days
92.51%±26.19670 openings
since tracking started
92.51%±26.19670 openings
62.0%150.3%238.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h88165.77%±72.3—odds
7d54291.82%±29.1+0.2σodds
30d67092.51%±26.2+0.2σodds
All67092.51%±26.2+0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 670 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Bearbrick x The Amazing Spiderman 1000%other1 in 2,000$4,3005.1%00.3—
Jordan 1 Retro High Spider Man Origin Story (Special Box) US M 10other1 in 1,000$2,7506.6%10.7—
Nike SB Dunk Mid Spider Man US M 11.5other1 in 400$8224.9%31.71.79×
Hasbro Marvel Legends Spider Man Set - Demogoblin BAF Action Figureother1 in 400$7904.7%31.71.79×
Nike Air Foamposite Pro Spiderman US M 11.5other1 in 400$7004.2%11.70.60×
Hot Toys No Way Home Spiderman (Integrated Suit) 1/6 Figure MMS623other1 in 400$6143.7%31.71.79×
Bandai S.H.Figuarts Avengers Endgame Iron Spider Final Battle Edition Action Figureother1 in 400$6003.6%11.70.60×
Hot Toys Amazing Spiderman 1/6 Figure MMS244other1 in 400$5903.5%11.70.60×
Hot Toys Spiderman: No Way Home Doc Ock 1/6 Figure MMS632other1 in 400$5253.1%31.71.79×
Hot Toys Spiderman: No Way Home Green Goblin (Deluxe Version) 1/6 Figure MMS631other1 in 400$5023.0%01.70.00×
Sp5der Main Label L/S Tee US Mother1 in 400$4522.7%41.72.39×
Bandai Japan Marvel Meisho Manga Realization Onmitsu Black Spiderman Action Figureother1 in 400$3782.3%11.70.60×
adidas D.O.N. Issue #1 Symbiote Spider Man US M 10.5other1 in 400$3502.1%11.70.60×
adidas D.O.N. Issue #1 Amazing Spider Man US M 9other1 in 400$2701.6%11.70.60×
Vans Sk8-Hi Zip Marvel Spider Man (TD) US 7other1 in 200$2603.1%23.40.60×
Bearbrick The Amazing Spider Man 100%other1 in 400$2501.5%11.70.60×
Medicom Marvel The Amazing Spiderman (Ben Reilly) No. 143 Action Figureother1 in 200$2002.4%63.41.79×
Kith Marvel Spider-Man Amazing Spiderman Snapbackother1 in 200$1001.2%23.40.60×
Vans Slip-On Marvel Spider Man US M 4other1 in 33$90.006.4%1520.10.75×
Spider Man Foam Chairother1 in 13$40.007.2%5450.31.07×
Marvel Spider-Man Kids Watchother15.0%$20.007.2%105100.51.04×
Spiderman Wireless Bluetooth Portable Headphonesother15.0%$20.007.2%97100.50.97×
Marvel Spiderman Sunglasses for Kidsother25.0%$12.007.2%165167.50.99×
Marvel Spider Man Water Bottleother29.6%$8.005.7%200198.31.01×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$46.7989.50%24
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $2,750 (58.77x)