Wired
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$0.53
Advertised RTP
88.33%
EV $0.47 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.41%
9,451 openings, odds method
Variance
8.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 19
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,451 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15ft Extension Cordother | 1 in 1,000 | $23.00 | 4.9% | 6 | 9.5 | 0.63× |
| Elgato XLR Microphone Cableother | 1 in 800 | $20.00 | 5.3% | 8 | 11.8 | 0.68× |
| Aluminum Craft Wireother | 1 in 400 | $14.00 | 7.5% | 17 | 23.6 | 0.72× |
| ENCE HDMI - HDMI 2.0 4K Cable, 1mother | 1 in 400 | $13.00 | 6.9% | 20 | 23.6 | 0.85× |
| Steel 20 Gauge Galvanized Hobby Wireother | 1 in 133 | $6.00 | 9.6% | 63 | 70.9 | 0.89× |
| Micro USB Cablesother | 1 in 133 | $5.49 | 8.8% | 76 | 70.9 | 1.07× |
| Old Ethernet Cableother | 1 in 33 | $2.30 | 14.7% | 294 | 283.5 | 1.04× |
| VGA Cableother | 1 in 13 | $0.80 | 12.8% | 723 | 708.8 | 1.02× |
| HDMI Cableother | 1 in 13 | $0.75 | 12.0% | 681 | 708.8 | 0.96× |
| 40-Pin IDE Drive Ribbon Cablesother | 10.0% | $0.20 | 4.3% | 962 | 945.1 | 1.02× |
| 3.5mm Audio Cableother | 10.0% | $0.18 | 3.8% | 927 | 945.1 | 0.98× |
| Molex Cablesother | 10.0% | $0.15 | 3.2% | 989 | 945.1 | 1.05× |
| RCA Cableother | 10.0% | $0.15 | 3.2% | 932 | 945.1 | 0.99× |
| Old Telephone Cableother | 17.5% | $0.05 | 1.9% | 1,628 | 1656.3 | 0.98× |
| Bare Copper Wireother | 22.3% | $0.02 | 1.0% | 2,125 | 2102.8 | 1.01× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.53 | 88.33% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —