Yak Attack
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$74.85
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $66.99 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
22.19%
42 openings, odds method
Variance
8.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 42 openings and 1.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Town Topwater 106 Angler Fishing Kayakother | 1 in 100 | $1,430 | 21.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Perception Pescador Pro 12 | Sit on Top Fishing Kayak with Adjustable Lawn Chair Seat | Large Front and Rear Storage | 12other | 1 in 100 | $1,210 | 18.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Pelican Catch Mode 110 Premium Angler Kayak - 10.5 ftother | 1 in 100 | $879 | 13.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Pelican - Maxim 100X Recreational Kayakother | 1 in 100 | $650 | 9.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Lifetime Tamarack Angler 100 Fishing Kayakother | 1 in 100 | $550 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Pelican Sentinel 80xother | 1 in 100 | $480 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Intex 68307EP Explorer K2 Inflatable Kayakother | 1 in 50 | $200 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| INTEX Challenger Inflatable Kayak Seriesother | 1 in 50 | $175 | 5.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| Pelican - Poseidon Paddle - 90.5in - Blueother | 1 in 20 | $50.00 | 3.7% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× |
| Fashionwu Fly Fishing Landing Netother | 10.0% | $20.00 | 3.0% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| Zebco Dock Demon Spinning Reelother | 25.0% | $9.98 | 3.7% | 17 | 10.5 | 1.62× |
| Fishing Lureother | 50.0% | $1.00 | 0.7% | 18 | 21.0 | 0.86× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $74.85 | 89.49% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —