Zip Up

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$593.66

Advertised RTP

89.50%

EV $531.32 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d

65.50%

20 openings, odds method

Variance

9.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 36

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

90.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

18 openings · below min

30 days

20 openings · below min

since tracking started

20 openings · below min

-0.5%129.0%258.5%

Small sample. 20 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	10.44%±247.4	—	odds
7d	18	10.44%±142.9	—	odds
30d	20	65.50%±135.5	—	odds
All	20	65.50%±135.5	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Louis Vuitton Varsity Leather Jacket Green EU 48other	1 in 250	$16.2K	12.2%	0	0.1	—
Gucci x Balenciaga The Hacker Project Jumbo GG Jacket Beige/Ebony (EU 46)other	1 in 250	$12.4K	9.3%	0	0.1	—
Gucci x The North Face Womens GG Padded Jacket Black Ebony Beige (US M)other	1 in 250	$9,570	7.2%	0	0.1	—
Moncler Maya 70 by Palm Angels Jacket Bright White MONCLER 2other	1 in 250	$8,750	6.6%	0	0.1	—
Aime Leon Dore x New Balance Varsity Jacket Navyother	1 in 250	$7,700	5.8%	0	0.1	—
Saint Laurent Denim-Style Lambskin Leather Jacket Black (EU 48)other	1 in 250	$6,599	5.0%	1	0.1	—
Gucci x The North Face Print Jacket Beige/Ebony (US L)other	1 in 250	$6,000	4.5%	0	0.1	—
Gucci x adidas Nylon Down Jacket Yellow (EU 52)other	1 in 250	$5,885	4.4%	0	0.1	—
Palm Angels Alpinestars x MoneyGram HAAS F1 Team Jacket Black/Red EU 54other	1 in 250	$5,350	4.0%	0	0.1	—
Balenciaga Leather Jacket Black US 40other	1 in 250	$5,000	3.8%	0	0.1	—
Kith x Versace Reversible Down Jacket Black (EU 48)other	1 in 250	$4,565	3.4%	0	0.1	—
BAPE x Comme des Garcons Osaka Exclusive Varsity Jacket Black US XLother	1 in 250	$4,080	3.1%	0	0.1	—
Supreme Burberry Shearling Collar Down Puffer Jacket Beige (US M)other	1 in 250	$3,600	2.7%	0	0.1	—
Burberry Reversible Check Nylon Puffer Jacket Black Archive Beige (US XS)other	1 in 125	$2,970	4.5%	0	0.2	—
Burberry Reversible Check Nylon Puffer Jacket Black Archive Beige (US S)other	1 in 125	$2,607	3.9%	0	0.2	—
OVO The Simpsons Varsity Jacket US Lother	1 in 125	$2,110	3.2%	0	0.2	—
Fear of God Satin MANUEL Baseball Coaches Jacketother	1 in 125	$1,760	2.7%	0	0.2	—
Gucci x The North Face Down Jacket Blue (US L)other	1 in 125	$1,266	1.9%	0	0.2	—
Kith Flocked Deconstructed Bandana Coaches Jacket US Lother	1 in 125	$891	1.3%	0	0.2	—
Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacketother	90.0%	$62.00	10.5%	19	18.0	1.06×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.