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0.7% M4Roulette iMady

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.59
5.18 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
119.22%
6,014 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
512 openings · below min
7 days
118.96%±48.265,952 openings
30 days
119.22%±47.826,014 openings
since tracking started
119.22%±47.826,014 openings
-0.5%83.8%168.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h51267.10%±71.3—sample
7d5,952118.96%±48.3—sample
30d6,014119.22%±47.8—sample
All6,014119.22%±47.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)weapon · covert$2.595.18 coins$1,4332,866 coins553.3x
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)weapon · covert$2.595.18 coins$1,4332,866 coins553.3x
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)weapon · covert$2.595.18 coins$1,4332,866 coins553.3x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$2.595.18 coins$1,1512,301 coins444.2x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6$2.595.18 coins$8731,745 coins337.0x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6$2.595.18 coins$8731,745 coins337.0x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6$2.595.18 coins$8731,745 coins337.0x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classifiediMadyyyy$2.595.18 coins$7151,429 coins275.9x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified$2.595.18 coins$7151,429 coins275.9x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified$2.595.18 coins$7151,429 coins275.9x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspeciMadyyyy$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.595.18 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,433 (553.3x)