1% Knife Comeback

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.70
1.39 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.62%
532 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
30 openings · below min
7 days
292 openings · below min
30 days
532 openings · below min
since tracking started
532 openings · below min
-0.5%435.5%871.5%

Small sample. 532 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h30294.75%±576.3—sample
7d29261.14%±83.6—sample
30d53283.62%±72.4—sample
All53283.62%±72.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert$0.691.39 coins$61.31123 coins88.22x
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert$0.691.39 coins$61.31123 coins88.22x
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert$0.691.39 coins$61.31123 coins88.22x
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert$0.691.39 coins$61.31123 coins88.22x
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert$0.691.39 coins$61.31123 coins88.22x

Latest dropsnewest first

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.691.39 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $61.31 (88.22x)