10% Karambit

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$50.00
100 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.72%
48 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
16 openings · below min
7 days
48 openings · below min
30 days
48 openings · below min
since tracking started
48 openings · below min
19.0%160.3%301.5%

Small sample. 48 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h16160.34%±140.7—sample
7d4881.72%±61.9—sample
30d4881.72%±61.9—sample
All4881.72%±61.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Karambit | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert$50.00100 coins$313627 coins6.27x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Karambit | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert$50.00100 coins$343686 coins6.86x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecjustsan$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —