10% KNIFE LUCK

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.48
4.96 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.77%
234 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
38 openings · below min
7 days
202 openings · below min
30 days
234 openings · below min
since tracking started
234 openings · below min
3.5%69.8%136.0%

Small sample. 234 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3822.97%±18.6—sample
7d20284.42%±50.8—sample
30d23481.77%±45.2—sample
All23481.77%±45.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · RareHAL$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare$2.484.96 coins$0.150.3 coins0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —