10% nights

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$97.66
195 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
210.63%
38 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
32 openings · below min
30 days
38 openings · below min
since tracking started
38 openings · below min
-0.5%358.3%717.0%

Small sample. 38 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d32250.12%±466.1—sample
30d38210.63%±392.6—sample
All38210.63%±392.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | LUCAS1 (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker$97.66195 coins$7,44114,883 coins76.20x

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$97.66195 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$97.66195 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$97.66195 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$97.66195 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Charm | POP Artcharm · #8847ffJohnDoe77$97.66195 coins$125250 coins1.28x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$97.66195 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$97.66195 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$97.66195 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$97.66195 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Charm | POP Artcharm · #8847ff$97.66195 coins$125250 coins1.28x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,441 (76.20x)