15% Gloves

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$39.10

78.19 coins

Advertised RTP

89.99%

EV $35.18 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d

108.70%

1,338 openings, odds method

Variance

18.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 48

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

105.64%±47.23310 openings

7 days

111.70%±24.091,192 openings

30 days

108.70%±22.741,338 openings

since tracking started

108.70%±22.741,338 openings

58.0%105.7%153.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	310	105.64%±47.2	+0.6σ	odds
7d	1,192	111.70%±24.1	+1.8σ	odds
30d	1,338	108.70%±22.7	+1.6σ	odds
All	1,338	108.70%±22.7	+1.6σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,338 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested)gloves · epic	1 in 2,000	$1,885 3,771 coins	2.7%	1	0.7	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,333	$1,252 2,504 coins	2.7%	1	1.0	1.00×
★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 100	$1,239 2,478 coins	35.2%	12	13.4	0.90×
★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 105	$967 1,934 coins	26.1%	20	12.7	1.57×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 101	$285 571 coins	8.1%	19	13.3	1.43×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 50	$133 265 coins	7.5%	43	26.8	1.61×
★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 41	$77.16 154 coins	5.3%	33	32.5	1.01×
★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 40	$70.66 141 coins	5.0%	27	33.5	0.81×
★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 20	$51.73 103 coins	7.4%	76	66.9	1.14×
P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	85.0%	<$0.01 0.01 coins	0.0%	1,106	1137.3	0.97×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested)gloves · epic$39.1078.19 coins$1,8853,771 coins48.23x8d

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$39.1078.19 coins$1,2522,504 coins32.02x6d

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$39.1078.19 coins$1,2392,478 coins31.69x18h

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$39.1078.19 coins$1,2392,478 coins31.69x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$39.1078.19 coins$1,2392,478 coins31.69x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$39.1078.19 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x3h

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$39.1078.19 coins$51.73103 coins1.32x3h

P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$39.1078.19 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x3h

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryalexpaz050$39.1078.19 coins$133265 coins3.39x3h

P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$39.1078.19 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x3h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$39.10	89.99%	10

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedepic 0.1%extraordinary 13.0%legendary 1.9%#4b69ff 85.0%best hit $1,885 (48.23x)