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2% Bounty

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.50
25 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.77%
2,202 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
138 openings · below min
7 days
75.92%±32.781,640 openings
30 days
87.77%±32.802,202 openings
since tracking started
87.77%±32.802,202 openings
-0.5%94.3%189.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h13893.85%±94.4—sample
7d1,64075.92%±32.8—sample
30d2,20287.77%±32.8—sample
All2,20287.77%±32.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3$12.5025 coins$1,8723,743 coins149.7x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3LadyboyAlice$12.5025 coins$1,8723,743 coins149.7x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3$12.5025 coins$1,8723,743 coins149.7x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2$12.5025 coins$1,4542,909 coins116.3x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$12.5025 coins$1,0102,020 coins80.80x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$12.5025 coins$1,0102,020 coins80.80x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$12.5025 coins$9141,828 coins73.13x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3$12.5025 coins$8161,631 coins65.25x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$12.5025 coins$5981,195 coins47.82x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$12.5025 coins$5981,195 coins47.82x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.5025 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$12.5025 coins$5981,195 coins47.82x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.5025 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.5025 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.5025 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.5025 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.5025 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.5025 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.5025 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$12.5025 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,872 (149.7x)