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Case Battles$3,6871.41xMake it Gold$1,4101.76xBlackjack$4,5001.50xMega Wheel$5,29950.17x5 Lions Megaways 2$32.14289.8x5 Lions Megaways$3,6354.32xCULT$227151.6xSpeed Baccarat D$1,0002.00xWanted Dead or a Wild$49.12122.8xBlackjack$1,6002.00xWaylanders Forge$2,20411.02xSlide$1,0525.00x123$17.1K6.09xChaos Crew 3 Mobile$9,3419.34xControl Squeeze Baccarat$2,4461.95xMax Win Machine$1,4039.52xCase Battles$1,6891.52xBlackjack$1,9632.00xBlackjack$6,0001.50xBuffalo Hold and Win Extreme 10,000$3,600144.0xLimbo$3,3632.10xKeno$400400.0xBuried By Night$30.42152.1xLimbo$3,3632.10x

2.4% Party

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$25.00
50 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
186.34%
740 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
292 openings · below min
30 days
740 openings · below min
since tracking started
740 openings · below min
-0.5%144.3%289.0%

Small sample. 740 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h180.02%±0.00—sample
7d292106.85%±108.4—sample
30d740186.34%±102.2—sample
All740186.34%±102.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$25.0050 coins$3,4986,995 coins139.9x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$25.0050 coins$3,4986,995 coins139.9x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$25.0050 coins$3,4986,995 coins139.9x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$25.0050 coins$3,4986,995 coins139.9x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$25.0050 coins$3,4986,995 coins139.9x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$25.0050 coins$3,4986,995 coins139.9x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$25.0050 coins$3,4986,995 coins139.9x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert$25.0050 coins$1,8283,656 coins73.12x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covertBerrysteinfeld$25.0050 coins$1,8283,656 coins73.12x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,498 (139.9x)