2.5% Griggy

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$8.56
17.12 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
77.74%
1,094 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
294 openings · below min
7 days
79.76%±40.881,046 openings
30 days
77.74%±39.181,094 openings
since tracking started
77.74%±39.181,094 openings
-0.5%60.5%121.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h29439.69%±43.0—sample
7d1,04679.76%±40.9—sample
30d1,09477.74%±39.2—sample
All1,09477.74%±39.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8.5617.12 coins$5081,015 coins59.30x
★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8.5617.12 coins$5081,015 coins59.30x
★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8.5617.12 coins$5081,015 coins59.30x

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$8.5617.12 coins$0.230.47 coins0.03x
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$8.5617.12 coins$0.230.47 coins0.03x
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$8.5617.12 coins$0.230.47 coins0.03x
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$8.5617.12 coins$0.230.47 coins0.03x
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · mil specmaddyb$8.5617.12 coins$0.230.47 coins0.03x
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · mil specpeepmeep67$8.5617.12 coins$0.230.47 coins0.03x
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$8.5617.12 coins$0.230.47 coins0.03x
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$8.5617.12 coins$0.230.47 coins0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,350 (157.8x)