2.5% Juicer

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$6.75

13.49 coins

Advertised RTP

89.94%

EV $6.07 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d

92.35%

87K openings, odds method

Variance

50.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 167

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

97.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

82.91%±18.145,914 openings

7 days

91.52%±5.8057.9K openings

30 days

92.35%±4.7387K openings

since tracking started

92.35%±4.7387K openings

64.0%82.7%101.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	5,914	82.91%±18.1	−0.8σ	odds
7d	57.9K	91.52%±5.80	+0.5σ	odds
30d	87K	92.35%±4.73	+1.0σ	odds
All	87K	92.35%±4.73	+1.0σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 87K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$860 1,721 coins	14.2%	76	87.0	0.87×
Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Covert	1 in 1,000	$556 1,113 coins	9.2%	92	87.0	1.06×
★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · knifes	1 in 500	$434 868 coins	14.3%	168	174.0	0.97×
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2	1 in 500	$416 831 coins	13.7%	200	174.0	1.15×
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 500	$401 802 coins	13.2%	212	174.0	1.22×
★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 200	$175 350 coins	14.4%	443	435.1	1.02×
★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 167	$100 200 coins	9.9%	499	522.1	0.96×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 167	$75.32 151 coins	7.4%	511	522.1	0.98×
Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Factory New)weapon · industrial	97.5%	$0.23 0.45 coins	3.6%	84,821	84846.4	1.00×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$6.7513.49 coins$8601,721 coins127.6x4h

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$6.7513.49 coins$8601,721 coins127.6x5h

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$6.7513.49 coins$8601,721 coins127.6x16h

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$6.7513.49 coins$8601,721 coins127.6x1d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New)weapon · industrial$6.7513.49 coins$0.230.45 coins0.03x17m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.94%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$6.75	89.94%	9

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 0.3%Covert 0.8%knifes 0.2%covert 1.2%industrial 97.5%best hit $860 (127.6x)