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3% AWP

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.00
10 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
76.60%
7,192 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
498 openings · below min
7 days
72.00%±19.744,884 openings
30 days
76.60%±16.447,192 openings
since tracking started
76.60%±16.447,192 openings
20.0%56.8%93.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h49850.70%±30.2—sample
7d4,88472.00%±19.7—sample
30d7,19276.60%±16.4—sample
All7,19276.60%±16.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$1,6613,323 coins332.3x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$6571,315 coins131.5x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$6571,315 coins131.5x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$6571,315 coins131.5x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$6571,315 coins131.5x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$6571,315 coins131.5x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$6571,315 coins131.5x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$6571,315 coins131.5x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$6571,315 coins131.5x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$6571,315 coins131.5x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecBriskFlint0171$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$5.0010 coins$0.070.15 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,661 (332.3x)