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%3 emerald

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.20
0.4 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.88%
11.1K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
742 openings · below min
7 days
87.01%±14.4210.4K openings
30 days
85.88%±14.0211.1K openings
since tracking started
85.88%±14.0211.1K openings
43.0%80.3%117.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h74280.16%±36.5—sample
7d10.4K87.01%±14.4—sample
30d11.1K85.88%±14.0—sample
All11.1K85.88%±14.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)weapon · covert · Phase 3mikeee$0.200.4 coins$44.5489.07 coins222.7x
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)weapon · covert · Phase 3$0.200.4 coins$44.5489.07 coins222.7x
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)weapon · covert · Phase 3$0.200.4 coins$44.5489.07 coins222.7x
Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New)weapon · industrial$0.200.4 coins$40.0180.02 coins200.0x
Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New)weapon · industrial$0.200.4 coins$40.0180.02 coins200.0x
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.200.4 coins$34.0368.06 coins170.2x
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.200.4 coins$34.0368.06 coins170.2x
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.200.4 coins$34.0368.06 coins170.2x
P250 | Splash (Factory New)weapon · restricted$0.200.4 coins$24.4448.87 coins122.2x
P250 | Splash (Factory New)weapon · restrictedmikeee$0.200.4 coins$24.4448.87 coins122.2x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerTIKTOKDIevas$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $44.54 (222.7x)