3% Ultima
A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$95.16
190 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
111.68%
756 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 756 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert$95.16190 coins$26.7K53,347 coins280.3x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert$95.16190 coins$26.7K53,347 coins280.3x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband$95.16190 coins$10.9K21,888 coins115.0x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$95.16190 coins$1,5513,102 coins16.30x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$95.16190 coins$1,5513,102 coins16.30x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$95.16190 coins$1,5513,102 coins16.30x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$95.16190 coins$1,2412,481 coins13.04x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covertprudent$95.16190 coins$1,2412,481 coins13.04x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$95.16190 coins$1,2412,481 coins13.04x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $26.7K (280.3x)