30% Gloves

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$119.66

239 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $107.70 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d

78.23%

42 openings, odds method

Variance

2.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

14.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

70.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

42 openings · below min

30 days

42 openings · below min

since tracking started

42 openings · below min

32.0%78.3%124.5%

Small sample. 42 openings and 5.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	42	78.23%±45.8	—	odds
30d	42	78.23%±45.8	—	odds
All	42	78.23%±45.8	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 33	$721 1,443 coins	20.1%	0	1.3	0.00×
★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 33	$478 957 coins	13.3%	1	1.3	0.79×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 25	$387 774 coins	14.4%	3	1.7	1.79×
★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested)gloves · sunny	1 in 25	$310 620 coins	11.5%	3	1.7	1.79×
★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 20	$297 595 coins	13.8%	2	2.1	0.95×
★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 20	$297 594 coins	13.8%	1	2.1	0.48×
★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 17	$235 470 coins	13.1%	2	2.5	0.79×
P2000 \| Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	70.0%	<$0.01 0.01 coins	0.0%	30	29.4	1.02×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.