Price
$25.00
50 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
288.41%
788 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 788 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$25.0050 coins$41.2K82,490 coins1,650x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$25.0050 coins$2,8135,625 coins112.5x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$25.0050 coins$2,8135,625 coins112.5x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$25.0050 coins$9941,988 coins39.76x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $41.2K (1,650x)