5% Darkness

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.68
3.36 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
66.27%
578 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
274 openings · below min
30 days
578 openings · below min
since tracking started
578 openings · below min
17.0%111.5%206.0%

Small sample. 578 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d274111.58%±93.9—sample
30d57866.27%±45.0—sample
All57866.27%±45.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert$1.683.36 coins$202404 coins120.2x

Latest dropsnewest first

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · light blue$1.683.36 coins$0.140.27 coins0.08x
MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · light blue$1.683.36 coins$0.140.27 coins0.08x
MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · light blue$1.683.36 coins$0.140.27 coins0.08x
MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · light blue$1.683.36 coins$0.140.27 coins0.08x
MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · light blue$1.683.36 coins$0.140.27 coins0.08x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$1.683.36 coins$10.5921.17 coins6.30x
MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · light blue$1.683.36 coins$0.140.27 coins0.08x
MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · light blue$1.683.36 coins$0.140.27 coins0.08x
MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · light blue$1.683.36 coins$0.140.27 coins0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $202 (120.2x)