5% gnich62 ultra
A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$764.21
1,528 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
114.48%
504 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 504 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7641,528 coins$217K434,217 coins284.1x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7641,528 coins$26.7K53,347 coins34.90x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7641,528 coins$26.7K53,347 coins34.90x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$7641,528 coins$12.1K24,151 coins15.80x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$7641,528 coins$12.1K24,151 coins15.80x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$7641,528 coins$10.6K21,246 coins13.90x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$7641,528 coins$10.4K20,866 coins13.65x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$7641,528 coins$9,92519,850 coins12.99x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $217K (284.1x)