5% megafarm

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.43

0.85 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

90.27%

7,147 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

72.36%±19.541,256 openings

7 days

89.65%±9.866,345 openings

30 days

90.27%±9.327,147 openings

since tracking started

90.27%±9.327,147 openings

52.0%76.0%100.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,256	72.36%±19.5	—	sample
7d	6,345	89.65%±9.86	—	sample
30d	7,147	90.27%±9.32	—	sample
All	7,147	90.27%±9.32	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New)weapon · consumer$0.420.85 coins$24.9849.95 coins58.76x2d

FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New)weapon · consumer$0.420.85 coins$24.9849.95 coins58.76x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x16m

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x16m

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x16m

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x16m

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x16m

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x16m

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x16m

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x16m

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x31m

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.85 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x31m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $24.98 (58.76x)