5% Niksi

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$43.61
87.21 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
143.86%
230 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
230 openings · below min
30 days
230 openings · below min
since tracking started
230 openings · below min
-0.5%148.3%297.0%

Small sample. 230 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d230143.86%±152.5—sample
30d230143.86%±152.5—sample
All230143.86%±152.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$43.6187.21 coins$6,89213,784 coins158.1x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$43.6187.21 coins$3,4986,995 coins80.21x
★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife$43.6187.21 coins$7021,404 coins16.10x

Latest dropsnewest first

P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$43.6187.21 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$43.6187.21 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$43.6187.21 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$43.6187.21 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$43.6187.21 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffraka12k$43.6187.21 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Charm | That's Bananascharm · uncommon$43.6187.21 coins$333667 coins7.64x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$43.6187.21 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$43.6187.21 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$43.6187.21 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,892 (158.1x)