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5% Red Star

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$14.77
29.53 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.96%
1,754 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
91.40%±28.121,240 openings
30 days
81.96%±21.581,754 openings
since tracking started
81.96%±21.581,754 openings
59.5%89.8%120.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1,24091.40%±28.1—sample
30d1,75481.96%±21.6—sample
All1,75481.96%±21.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$14.7729.53 coins$1,0102,020 coins68.40x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby$14.7729.53 coins$8731,745 coins59.10x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby$14.7729.53 coins$8731,745 coins59.10x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby$14.7729.53 coins$8731,745 coins59.10x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$14.7729.53 coins$6181,236 coins41.87x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$14.7729.53 coins$6181,236 coins41.87x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · RubyiMadyyyy$14.7729.53 coins$6181,236 coins41.87x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$14.7729.53 coins$6181,236 coins41.87x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$14.7729.53 coins$6181,236 coins41.87x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$14.7729.53 coins$6181,236 coins41.87x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspeciMadyyyy$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.7729.53 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,010 (68.40x)